Hi,
If you have followed me on social media, then you already know that I like to write, and do not have any scruples about giving it out for free. So there will be enough content here for you to feel like you are getting something whether you pay or not.
To explain just what this is, I will start first with the value proposition. This blog exists for me to share valuable macro-economic breakdowns focused on the US market first. There will be both paid content, and free content, a breakdown of what that paid and free content is, is below. All of the paid content will be written in such a way as to be actionable and tradeable. Where possible, dates and times will be given. Sometimes these dates will be over a longer term (lower leverage), and sometimes these dates will be given to the specific minute or 15-30 minute candle (higher leverage).
This content is aimed at traders across all time frames, Scalpers, Intra-week traders, Swing traders, and the value investor. I am not here to give specific advice about which stock, which forex pair, or which crypto to buy (but I will from time to time do analysis of L1 and L2 crypto protocols as that’s where my focus is). I am instead here to give you insight into macro-economic events, timing, and how they will affect existing trades you have open, or considerations that you will make if you want to open or close a position in the US stock market, in the international Forex/Comex markets, or positions you may have within Crypto.
The cost of entry is $10/month. I can certainly see how someone might view this as a betrayal, or as me leaving you. I am not. My IG Account will continue as it always has. There will be plenty of free posts here as well. And I will be gifting subs from time to time. Consider this instead as if I am expanding the amount of writing that I do and providing that all here. For those of you that see me only on IG, I am on many parts of the internet, with many different names. I have been providing weekly assessments like this in several different private trading groups since 2017, but not on the same schedule that I intend to keep here.
I am not going to try to sell you on who I am. Who I am is not important. This is and always has been the cardinal rule of the free side of the internet, and what differentiates it from the captive side. I am not going to wallet name. I am not going to post a copy of my dusty ass diploma (I may not even have a diploma, who can say?). I am not going to leave a string of certifications that I was foolish enough to pay for. I exist in the wild. My goal is to be in spaces that are so new that no certifications really exist for them. That no college class exists to tell you how to do what I am doing. The only experience is experience. And results are the best indicator of success. If I am constantly wrong, or you do not get any value from this substack, please unsubscribe. You will be sending a signal to me that I need to go do something else with my time. And if I am right, and I am valuable to you, please share this substack, or my IG account with your friends, tell them about it, send them links to this blog, leave comments on my posts and share your experiences, interact with them, hit the like button. By doing so, you are participating in the real economic game of the world.
The fastest lion eats in the wild. In the safe spaces that are hidden behind the gates of university, certifications, a linkedin Wallet Name profile, your gatekeepers hand you food behind a fence, and stop your competition from coming in to eat it first. In captivity you have no idea whether you are an actual lion or just a housecat. In captivity, all animals lead the same lives. Bloomberg, the Financial Times, The Economist, they all exist in captivity. They haven’t gone on a hunt, yet believe that they do every day when they pitifully purr at the zoo-keeper as he brings in a raw T-bone and no organ meat. Any advice they give you should be seen in this light. Of course they can’t understand how government handing out money causes problems, that is how they eat. They can’t speak to you about how to be a healthy lion roaming the serengeti, they’ve never done it, and their survival is dependent on the exact opposite of that occurring. If you have a real job where you compete for customers, or where you don’t get paid if you do a poor job; you will find that the advice from these rags is counter-productive to your lived experience. The dollar, as a financial asset, exists purely in captivity. It is not in the wild. If you exist in the wild, and attempt to transact with captive assets, you will find that they constantly perform to your detriment. The main goal of my content, is to make you aware of when and how the dollar will perform to your detriment, and what to do about it as the zookeepers continue to attempt to protect their zoo.
My Content Breakdown will look like this.
Paid posts
Every Sunday before Market open in Tokyo (6pm Central Standard Time)
Forward looking assessment outlining what is likely to happen, and what the markets expect to happen, how that differs and how you should be wary of these events if you have any leveraged exposure. As well as potential times to trade for a potential benefit. (Market Clock)
Every Friday after Market close in NYC (4pm Central Standard Time Friday)
Backward looking assessment outlining my previous predictions for the week, where I went wrong, where I went right, and how this affects future outlooks both on the short and long term time frame. (Market Clock)
Mid-week paid posts to cover any major macro-economic events that occur, including central bank meetings, CPI releases, and NFP. These will not always occur every week.
Sporadic paid posts covering major macro-economic events that occur outside of the US in the major financial hubs with the deepest liquidity affecting global markets. These will tend to cover the central bank meetings, interest rate policies, and the macro-economic levers that the central banks in each of these geographies is focused on. As an example, The Royal Bank of Australia focuses heavily on housing prices and often makes moves attempting to stabilize this market and prevent crashes in prices, at the detriment of the rest of their economy.
Japan
UK
EU
Switzerland
Australia
Canada
New Zealand
Paid posts assessing my macro-outlook for the crypto sphere as a whole. Will be covering the types of protocols I expect to benefit the most and be hurt the most by macro-economic moves outside of crypto. This will include longer form price assessments of specific L1 and L2 blockchains. If I speak about a specific protocol I will always lead by telling you whether I have a horse in the race so you will know if I own that protocol or not. I very rarely trade crypto leveraged, and am almost exclusively a value investor/swing trader in this segment. Very little of my advice here will be about leveraged quick trading, and will almost exclusively focus on long term trends, and asset prices against both BTC and USD. At some point in the future I may also consider prices of assets in ETH. These posts will include Technical Analysis, as well as Fundamental Analysis. I always share my charts.
Free Posts - Opinion pieces written by me about macro-economic developments that are less tradeable. Will include deeper analysis of inflation, political intrigue, central bank movements, mass media trends, supply-chain, and trends in the legislative branch of the US government. I may also go off-topic from time to time on any subject I am experimenting with in the mean time. And I encourage you all to join me in those experiments.
I can’t guarantee you that my free posts will be as prolific as my Instagram, but I do intend to keep the content going, and will be holding competitions every now and then to gift free subs to those who prove themselves worthy.
For the first 6 weeks, ALL posts will be free. I’ve always thought it was crazy to buy a car without test driving it, and similarly I think you would be crazy to pay to subscribe without at least having the chance to see what sort of content you are paying for. Yet I know some of you are absolute degenerate loons like me, and will subscribe on day 1. I salute you, you absolute madmen.
Currently it’s 11/29/2021. The first bi-weekly post will begin this coming sunday on 12/5/2021.
The first post that will be paylocked will come out on 1/16/2022.
Until then, please enjoy all of the content, and I hope that I can provide to you more than $120/year in value so that this is a win-win for everyone involved. If for any reason, I do not provide at least 8 paid posts in any given month, I will turn off subscriptions for the next month for all subscribers. I guarantee that. Nobody should be paid for providing zero value. I firmly believe that, and I have my own line for what value it is I believe I am providing. If I cannot meet my own expectations for myself, I’m not going to ask you to pay for that, at my core I do not believe in doing that. Barring a major accident, disease, or death, you will see me at least 2 times a week.
At some date in the future. This substack will end, this will not exist forever. The value of this substack is in the present moment, just like all other facets of life. You were either there when it happened, or just a bystander viewing events through the curved lens of history. You may decide to sit on the sideline and not participate in the present moment. And thats okay, but understand that there is a certain magic and energy that cannot be recreated if you were not there yourself. Do you remember TV before netflix. The debates you had with other people about what you thought was happening on Lost every week between episodes? The conversations about the next season of Breaking Bad or who the mom was in HIMYM? That only happened in real time. If you weren’t up to date and participating, those conversations dried up. That doesn’t happen today as time and entertainment have become disjointed. The capacity to binge on past output as compared to participate in present creation stifles all conversations about TV. You have to be quiet for fear of spoiling it, unless you both have seen the entire thing, at which point no creative conversations exist, except between seasons, and those are lackluster at best.
This will be a real time experience with the markets themselves. And I hope that my content can maintain the level of credibility to attract and keep people here that are also lions and hunt firsthand. You may be anon with a Pepe avatar, but you may also have your own business, or work first hand in supply chain, or be a 7 figure trader. I want you all to connect and feel as if this network provides uncommon value. You may also be unemployed, or working minimum wage, or still in school, and I want you to feel welcome also. Uncommon insight often comes from a place of desire, while success often breeds complacency and crystalizes people in their ways. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it, is just as much a trueism as it is a death knell for creativity. Please remember that as you read and comment. My goal is to build that and encourage you all to participate both in the comments, and by creating your own networks amongst yourselves. This is how we win, with decentralized networks that communicate and share information among themselves.
Firsthand, I know how difficult it is to find people with their eyes open and willing to trust themselves to learn and internalize information on their own without an authority telling them what to think and do. My goal here is to help you all learn how to do that, so maybe in a year or 2, you can do this without me. I don’t control substack, I am very aware of that. One day they may cut me off, delete my page, block my ability to post, or censor certain information. That possibility might be far-fetched today, considering the subject matter I intend to speak about, but do not ever forget that any topic that is contentious today, was once thought of as perfectly normal and safe to speak about in polite company. The nature of economics, inflation, the money supply, and government finance, may become such topics of the future. Electronic walls and gates, are quickly replacing the physical walls and gates of the past. The internet, in many ways and form is real estate, in much the same way that real life is. Make sure you get on the right side of the walls before the tumblers are thrown in the locks.
Thank you all for joining me, and for at least taking the time to follow me here. I will do my best to provide as much value as I can.
On my momma we lions cuhh
This is lightning in a bottle. To all passing readers, from the core of my being you will not want to miss out on this chapter from Flirtcheap